TIR Lëtzebuerg 2016, the Rifkin report: conclusion

Index:

Part 1: ..ENERGY (1/2)
Part 2. ..ENERGY (2/2)
Part 3: ..MOBILITY
Part 4: ..BUILDINGS
Part 5:  ..FOOD
Part 6:  ..INDUSTRY
Part 7:  ..FINANCE
Part 8:  ..SMART ECONOMY
Part 9:  ..CIRCULAR ECONOMY
Part 10: PROSUMERS & SOCIAL MODEL
Part 11: EXPLORING ECONOMIC BENEFITS
Part 12: My conclusion

___________________________________

Having spent more than two weeks on reading the full report and writing down my comments in 11 parts, time has come for a concise conclusion:

  1. The time spent reading the report is not wasted. It contains many concrete numbers and statistics on Luxembourg and its energy use, and many well written reflections.
    The report suffers greatly from too much repetitions, too much buzzwords “à la mode” streaming down like a tropical rain. 450 pages are far too many; with a better editing a more concise report should have been possible on 200 pages maximum.
  2. The exclusive and mandatory usage of renewable energy (here mostly solar PV and on-shore wind) is an illusion, not feasible as the intermittency asks for ever more complex systems, and the needed electricity storage solutions still do not exist at the magnitude and at the cost needed. The eventual advantage of many small micro-producers is to a large part eaten away by the extraordinary complex smart grid needed to exploit the micro-production. The suggested energy future is devilishly complex, and a complete reversal of the KISS (keep it simple, stupid) paradigm that was so successful for many years.
  3. The future suggested by the TIR report is ambiguous, even contradictory: on one side, the shared and circular economy should foster a myriad of small prosumer driven enterprises, on the other side the practical working of this new economy demands a collection of data at a magnitude that is breathtaking: the IoT finally establishes an all-encompassing web with a total intrusion into all aspects of  life. Actually, the proposed future does not leave privacy as an option anymore.
  4. Will this report be a great help for our politicians?
    I strongly doubt it. Sure, suggestions like better thermal isolation in all buildings or making ICT teaching stronger will be accepted, but they do not represent something new, and they are far from visionary. The excesses of the report makes its acceptance difficult; sure, there will be much lip paying service, but my best guess is that the caravan is moving on.
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12 Responses to “TIR Lëtzebuerg 2016, the Rifkin report: conclusion”

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