EEA report: Impacts of Europe’s changing climate

Today I downloaded this new 241 page report. Here some comments after glancing through the executive summary.

The report relies heavily on the IPCC AR4 and the Acia report (much copy/paste of graphics). The overall tone is alarmist (what else?) and seems to push the creation of an European Clearinghouse of Climate Change.

A temperature increase of 0.8°C since pre-industrial times is mentioned with a warning undertone (did they expect falling temperatures with the end of the LIA?). “No clear tendency in the frequency and intensity of storms has yet been observed“. (Notice the word “yet”; surely this will…must  change in the near future!).

Ozone concentrations are reported to increase in central and south-western Europe, which seems to be opposite to the findings of another recent EEA report: http://www.epa.gov/airtrends/ozone.html

For the ice sheets there are no reliable predictions fro Greenland and Antarctica (Antarctica must be part of Europe?). There is an over-abundance of the words “are expected”  “scenarios”. Some positive factors as increased forest grow are mentioned, but followed on the heels by dire warnings (more fires). Social changes and economic development are told as being the main factors for economic losses by weather events.

Correctly the authors deplore that even something as trivial as a common definition for “flood” or “drought” does still not exist (when is more water a flood?). The scenarios used (which should show regional skill) are told being based mainly on global (IPCC) scenarios (which have no local skills). This is quite embarrassing!

The report has a very readable layout, nice art work but leaves a first impression of déjà vu.

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